Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
