Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
