Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.