Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Bradford Park Avenue
68.49% ( 0.26)	19.13% ( -0.15)	12.39% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 47.15% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55% (

0.4)

45% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.65% (

0.38)

67.35% (

-0.38)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93% (

0.19)

12.07% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.4% (

0.4)

37.59% (

-0.4)

Bradford Park Avenue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.62% (

0.08)

46.38% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.99% (

0.06)

82.01% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Chorley 68.48%

Bradford Park Avenue 12.39%

Draw 19.13%

Chorley	Draw	Bradford Park Avenue
2-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 68.48%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.13%	0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.39%