SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Leamington FC | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Chorley | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 | Buxton | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Brackley Town | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Bradford Park Avenue | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 24 | Boston United | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
68.49% ( 0.26) | 19.13% ( -0.15) | 12.39% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.15% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.4) | 45% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.38) | 67.35% ( -0.38) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( 0.19) | 12.07% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.4% ( 0.4) | 37.59% ( -0.4) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.62% ( 0.08) | 46.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.99% ( 0.06) | 82.01% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 2-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 68.48% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.13% | 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.39% |
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