Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.49) 
-0.12) 
