Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.