Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.