Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.