Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.