Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Buxton
31.63% ( 0.43)	26.5% ( 0.18)	41.87% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.91% (

-0.56)

53.09% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33% (

-0.48)

74.67% (

0.49)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

0.01)

31.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53% (

0.01)

67.47% (

-0)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0.55)

25.06% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

-0.78)

59.74% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 31.63%

Buxton 41.86%

Draw 26.49%

Hereford United	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.63%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.86%