SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Buxton | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | AFC Telford United | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 21 | Chester FC | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Farsley Celtic | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Buxton | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | AFC Telford United | 5 | -5 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Buxton |
28.39% ( 0.78) | 25.91% ( -0.36) | 45.69% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( 1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% ( 1.83) | 52.1% ( -1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( 1.56) | 73.82% ( -1.56) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( 1.58) | 32.97% ( -1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( 1.72) | 69.55% ( -1.72) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( 0.59) | 22.76% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( 0.86) | 56.45% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.56)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.68% |
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