SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 47.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
47.13% ( -4.31) | 26.58% ( 1.41) | 26.28% ( 2.9) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( -3.15) | 55.91% ( 3.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% ( -2.62) | 77.02% ( 2.63) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -3.21) | 23.73% ( 3.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( -4.84) | 57.86% ( 4.85) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.84) | 36.71% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( 0.83) | 73.5% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.67)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.78)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.42)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.47)Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.6) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 1.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 1.18) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.68)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.25)Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.28% |
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