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National League North | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
4 - 1
Spennymoor

Lowe (10'), Pearce (37'), Freemantle (60'), Hemmings (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Taylor (1')
(15')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Spennymoor Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawSpennymoor Town
63.93% (-0.141 -0.14) 22.1% (-0.09 -0.09) 13.96% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 42.55% (0.77399999999999 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.35% (0.737 0.74)53.65% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.619 0.62)75.14% (-0.621 -0.62)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.20700000000001 0.21)16.21% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.375 0.38)45.7% (-0.378 -0.38)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.78% (0.798 0.8)49.22% (-0.801 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.89% (0.56 0.56)84.11% (-0.563 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 63.92%
    Spennymoor Town 13.96%
    Draw 22.1%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 13.2% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 63.92%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.1%
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.65% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 2% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 13.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Kidderminster
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 2-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Leamington
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-1 Spennymoor
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Darlington
Saturday, August 27 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Telford
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League North


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