SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Rushall Olympic had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Rushall Olympic win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
49.77% ( 0.2) | 24.99% ( -0.02) | 25.23% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.03) | 50.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( -0.03) | 72.41% ( 0.03) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( 0.07) | 20.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( 0.11) | 52.67% ( -0.11) |
| Rushall Olympic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.16) | 34.65% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.62% ( -0.17) | 71.38% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.23% |
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