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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Buxton |
42.75% ( -0.02) | 26.15% ( 0.03) | 31.1% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% ( -0.11) | 51.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( -0.09) | 73.61% ( 0.09) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.06) | 24.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.08) | 58.34% ( 0.08) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -0.06) | 30.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( -0.07) | 67.16% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 42.75% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.1% |
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