Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
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