SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
49.92% ( 0.16) | 25.22% ( 0.15) | 24.85% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( -0.84) | 51.68% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( -0.73) | 73.45% ( 0.72) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.27) | 20.71% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( -0.42) | 53.32% ( 0.42) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( -0.73) | 35.62% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% ( -0.75) | 72.39% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.85% |
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