Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
