Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
