Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Chester FC win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Chester FC |
59.8% | 20.67% | 19.54% |
Both teams to score 58.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.07% | 37.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.81% | 60.19% |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.63% | 12.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.78% | 38.22% |
Chester FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% | 32.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% | 69.42% |
Score Analysis |
Chorley | Draw | Chester FC |
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.88% 1-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-2 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.8% | 1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.67% | 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.54% |
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