Chorley
4 - 1
Chester

Cardwell (8', 36'), Shenton (21'), Leather (51')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Cowan (45')
Glendon (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Chester FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Chester FC win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Chester FC
59.8%	20.67%	19.54%

Both teams to score 58.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.81%

60.19%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63%

12.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.78%

38.22%

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15%

32.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58%

69.42%

Score Analysis

Chorley 59.8%

Chester FC 19.54%

Draw 20.67%

Chorley	Draw	Chester FC
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.88% 1-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-2 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.8%	1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.67%	1-2 @ 5.26% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.54%