Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
