Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Spennymoor Town in this match.