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National League North | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 2
Farsley Celtic

Owens (15'), Smith (77'), Hall (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Spencer (12', 44')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Farsley Celtic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawFarsley Celtic
53.15%23.36%23.49%
Both teams to score 55.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.53%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04%16.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94%47.06%
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73%33.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11%69.89%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 53.15%
    Farsley Celtic 23.49%
    Draw 23.35%
ChorleyDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.21%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.49%

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