Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.