Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.