SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Fylde |
| 35.04% | 25.46% | 39.5% |
| Both teams to score 55.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% | 47.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% | 70.1% |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.4% | 61.6% |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% | 23.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.79% | 58.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.5% |
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