Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.