Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.