Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.
