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National League North | Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Calveley (58')
Calveley (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahon (14')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Curzon Ashton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawCurzon Ashton
45.79%26.34%27.87%
Both teams to score 50.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.93%54.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5%75.5%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44%23.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38%57.62%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57%34.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86%71.14%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 45.79%
    Curzon Ashton 27.87%
    Draw 26.34%
ChorleyDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.48%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.87%


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