Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.