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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 0
P'boro Sports

Sampson (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 1-2 Chorley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-2 Hereford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawPeterborough Sports
34.93% (-5.848 -5.85) 27.32% (0.357 0.36) 37.75% (5.492 5.49)
Both teams to score 49.84% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (-0.948 -0.95)55.68% (0.947 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (-0.78 -0.78)76.83% (0.779 0.78)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-3.875 -3.88)30.26% (3.874 3.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-4.892 -4.89)66.43% (4.892 4.89)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (3.009 3.01)28.53% (-3.009 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (3.62 3.62)64.31% (-3.621 -3.62)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 34.93%
    Peterborough Sports 37.74%
    Draw 27.31%
ChorleyDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.76 -0.76)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.788 -0.79)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-1.22 -1.22)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.703 -0.7)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.823 -0.82)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.34 -0.34)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.93%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.311 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.82% (1.218 1.22)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.735 0.73)
0-2 @ 6.79% (1.25 1.25)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.554 0.55)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.708 0.71)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.245 0.25)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 1-2 Chorley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-3 Scarborough Ath
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Chorley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Banbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-2 Hereford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-0 P'boro Sports
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-2 Alfreton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 0-0 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League North


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