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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
34.93% ( -5.85) | 27.32% ( 0.36) | 37.75% ( 5.49) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.95) | 55.68% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.78) | 76.83% ( 0.78) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -3.88) | 30.26% ( 3.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( -4.89) | 66.43% ( 4.89) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 3.01) | 28.53% ( -3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( 3.62) | 64.31% ( -3.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.79)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -1.22)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.7)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.82)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.34)Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 1.22) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.73)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 1.25)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.55)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.74% |
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