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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Alfreton Town |
40.35% ( -0.7) | 27.23% ( -0.24) | 32.42% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% ( 1.16) | 55.74% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.12% ( 0.94) | 76.88% ( -0.94) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( 0.16) | 27.08% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( 0.21) | 62.46% ( -0.21) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 1.26) | 31.95% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( 1.41) | 68.4% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.42% |
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