SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
45.35% ( 0.14) | 25.79% ( 0) | 28.86% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0.08) | 51.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -0.07) | 73.18% ( 0.07) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( 0.03) | 22.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( 0.05) | 56.21% ( -0.05) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.15) | 32.23% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( -0.17) | 68.72% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.86% |
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