SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Banbury United win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Banbury United |
54.12% ( -0.34) | 23.34% ( 0.11) | 22.54% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.21) | 46.08% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( -0.2) | 68.38% ( 0.2) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.2) | 16.94% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( -0.36) | 47.01% ( 0.35) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.1) | 34.62% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.66% ( 0.1) | 71.34% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.12% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.54% |
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