Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gateshead in this match.