Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
