Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.