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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
GT

Kidderminster
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Hemmings (72' pen.)
Morgan-Smith (20'), Sterling-James (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Towler (59'), Fox (74')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Grimsby Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawGrimsby Town
18.25%21.89%59.86%
Both teams to score 52.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51%45.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18%67.82%
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34%38.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6%75.4%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21%14.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.95%43.05%
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 18.25%
    Grimsby Town 59.85%
    Draw 21.88%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-1 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 2.58%
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 18.25%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 10.92%
0-2 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 6.32%
0-4 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 3.01%
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-5 @ 1.22%
1-5 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 59.85%


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