Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Darlington	Draw	Curzon Ashton
36.45% ( -1.77)	27.48% ( 0.68)	36.07% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 49.41% (

-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.74% (

-2.67)

56.25% (

2.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.7% (

-2.2)

77.29% (

2.2)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

-2.33)

29.59% (

2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.37% (

-2.93)

65.63% (

2.92)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

-0.64)

29.82% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1% (

-0.77)

65.9% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Darlington 36.44%

Curzon Ashton 36.07%

Draw 27.47%

Darlington	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.44%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.87) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.07%