SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
46.64% ( -0.11) | 26.42% ( 0.37) | 26.94% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.12% ( -1.54) | 54.88% ( 1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( -1.29) | 76.17% ( 1.29) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.71) | 23.51% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( -1.04) | 57.54% ( 1.05) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% ( -1.03) | 35.6% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.63% ( -1.08) | 72.37% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 2% Total : 26.94% |
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