Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.