SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Fylde |
31.74% ( 0.94) | 27.76% ( 0.24) | 40.49% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.1% ( -0.63) | 57.89% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( -0.5) | 78.6% ( 0.5) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.35) | 33.53% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% ( 0.38) | 70.17% ( -0.38) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.95) | 28.02% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( -1.22) | 63.67% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.49% |
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