National League North | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 1
Gloucester City

Hazel (43'), Beck (70'), Felix (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Leadbitter (57')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

Last Six:

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Curzon Ashton	0	0	0
12	Darlington	0	0	0
13	Farsley Celtic	0	0	0

Gloucester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Fylde	0	0	0
15	Gloucester City	0	0	0
16	Hereford United	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
Darlington	Draw	Gloucester City
42.7% ( 0.74)	25.82% ( -0.19)	31.48% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66% (

0.6)

50.34% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72% (

0.53)

72.28% (

-0.53)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

0.63)

23.42% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.58% (

0.91)

57.42% (

-0.91)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.07)

29.85% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

-0.09)

65.94% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Darlington 42.69%

Gloucester City 31.48%

Draw 25.81%

Darlington	Draw	Gloucester City
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.69%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.48%