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National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 1
Gloucester City

Hazel (43'), Beck (70'), Felix (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawGloucester City
42.7% (0.738 0.74) 25.82% (-0.188 -0.19) 31.48% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 53.72% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (0.6 0.6)50.34% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.53 0.53)72.28% (-0.53 -0.53)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.629 0.63)23.42% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (0.90600000000001 0.91)57.42% (-0.907 -0.91)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.85% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 42.69%
    Gloucester City 31.48%
    Draw 25.81%
DarlingtonDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.69%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Darlington
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gateshead 4-2 Darlington
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-1 Gloucester City
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: York City 1-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-0 Hereford
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Gloucester City
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North


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