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National League North | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
4 - 1
Farsley Celtic

Obadeyi (9' pen.), Babos (19'), Phillips (23'), Okeke (45+2')
FT(HT: 4-0)
R (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawFarsley Celtic
57.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.34%18.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.6% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)47.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.62% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 57.83%
    Farsley Celtic 18.81%
    Draw 23.34%
Hereford UnitedDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.7%
4-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 57.83%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.31%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-4 Hereford
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Warrington Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-4 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North


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