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National League North | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
3 - 1
Darlington

Williams (11', 44'), Atkinson (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Purver (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farsley Celtic win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farsley Celtic would win this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawDarlington
38.82% (0.07 0.07) 24.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 36.34% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.027000000000001 0.03)22.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.77% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)24.29% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.07 -0.07)58.67% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 38.82%
    Darlington 36.34%
    Draw 24.83%
Farsley CelticDrawDarlington
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.82%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 36.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-1 Leamington
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-1 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 2-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Buxton
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Darlington
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North


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