SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Hereford United |
47.09% ( 0.27) | 25.11% ( -0.01) | 27.79% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( -0.14) | 49.18% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( -0.13) | 71.24% ( 0.12) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.06) | 20.91% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( 0.1) | 53.63% ( -0.1) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( -0.28) | 31.9% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% ( -0.32) | 68.35% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.79% |
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