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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
57.51% ( -0.19) | 22.78% ( -0.05) | 19.71% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% ( 0.54) | 47.18% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% ( 0.5) | 69.41% ( -0.5) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0.13) | 16.14% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( 0.23) | 45.58% ( -0.23) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.57) | 38.04% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( 0.54) | 74.81% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.71% |
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