SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Darlington |
45.24% ( -0.13) | 25.12% | 29.64% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( 0.06) | 48.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( 0.06) | 70.3% ( -0.06) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.03) | 21.3% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( -0.05) | 54.24% ( 0.05) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 0.13) | 30.01% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% ( 0.15) | 66.13% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.64% |
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