Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Darlington | Draw | Buxton |
40.19% ( 0) | 25.31% ( -0.01) | 34.5% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.38% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.68% ( 0.05) | 47.32% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.46% ( 0.05) | 69.54% ( -0.05) |
Darlington Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.02) | 23.35% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( 0.04) | 57.31% ( -0.04) |
Buxton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.03) | 26.45% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.04) | 61.63% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Darlington | Draw | Buxton |
1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.51% |
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