Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
