Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.